UPDATED Jul. 15, 2024, at 11:02 AM
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Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
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95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE
Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.
Dates | Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Sponsor | Result | Net result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS | Pollster | Result |
Polls ending July 12, 2024
President: general election, Michigan, 2024AVG.
July 11-13 | 600 | RV | July 11-13 600RV | Biden | 36% | Biden | 36% | Biden 36% Trump 39% | 39% | Trump | Trump | +3 |
July 10, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 8-11 | 2,300 | LV | July 8-11 2,300LV | The Center Square | Biden | 40% | Biden | 40% | Biden 40% Trump 43% Kennedy 7% West 1% Stein 1% | 43% | Trump | Trump | +3 | ||
40% Biden 43% Trump 7% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 8-11 | 2,300 | LV | July 8-11 2,300LV | The Center Square | Biden | 43% | Biden | 43% | Biden 43% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +3 |
President: general election, Virginia, 2024
July 6-11 | 1,000 | A | July 6-11 1,000A | On Point Politics | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Even | |||
July 6-11 | 1,000 | A | July 6-11 1,000A | On Point Politics | Biden | 47% | Biden | 47% | Biden 47% Trump 44% | 44% | Trump | Biden | +3 |
July 9, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 9-10 | 1,174 | RV | July 9-10 1,174RV | NPR, PBS NewsHour | Newsom | 50% | Newsom | 50% | Newsom 50% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Newsom | +2 | ||
July 9-10 | 1,174 | RV | July 9-10 1,174RV | NPR, PBS NewsHour | Whitmer | 49% | Whitmer | 49% | Whitmer 49% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Even | |||
July 9-10 | 1,174 | RV | July 9-10 1,174RV | NPR, PBS NewsHour | Harris | 50% | Harris | 50% | Harris 50% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Harris | +1 | ||
July 9-10 | 1,174 | RV | July 9-10 1,174RV | NPR, PBS NewsHour | Biden | 42% | Biden | 42% | Biden 42% Trump 43% Kennedy 8% West 3% Stein 2% Oliver 0% | 43% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
42% Biden 43% Trump 8% Kennedy 3% West 2% Stein 0% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
July 9-10 | 1,174 | RV | July 9-10 1,174RV | NPR, PBS NewsHour | Biden | 50% | Biden | 50% | Biden 50% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Biden | +2 | ||
July 7-10 | 1,210 | RV | July 7-10 1,210RV | Fox News | Newsom | 48% | Newsom | 48% | Newsom 48% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Even | |||
July 7-10 | 1,210 | RV | July 7-10 1,210RV | Fox News | Whitmer | 48% | Whitmer | 48% | Whitmer 48% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
July 7-10 | 1,210 | RV | July 7-10 1,210RV | Fox News | Harris | 48% | Harris | 48% | Harris 48% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
July 7-10 | 1,210 | RV | July 7-10 1,210RV | Fox News | Biden | 48% | Biden | 48% | Biden 48% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
July 7-10 | 1,210 | RV | July 7-10 1,210RV | Fox News | Biden | 41% | Biden | 41% | Biden 41% Trump 44% Kennedy 10% Stein 3% West 1% | 44% | Trump | Trump | +3 | ||
41% Biden 44% Trump 10% Kennedy 3% Stein 1% West |
President: general election, Wisconsin, 2024AVG.
July 6-10 | 600 | LV | July 6-10 600LV | American Greatness | Harris | 47% | Harris | 47% | Harris 47% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
July 6-10 | 600 | LV | July 6-10 600LV | American Greatness | Biden | 36% | Biden | 36% | Biden 36% Trump 38% Kennedy 11% Stein 3% Oliver 2% | 38% | Trump | Trump | +2 | ||
36% Biden 38% Trump 11% Kennedy 3% Stein 2% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
July 6-10 | 600 | LV | July 6-10 600LV | American Greatness | Biden | 44% | Biden | 44% | Biden 44% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +2 |
July 8, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 7-9 | 1,443 | RV | July 7-9 1,443RV | The Economist | Harris | 38% | Harris | 38% | Harris 38% Trump 42% Kennedy 5% Stein 2% West 1% | 42% | Trump | Trump | +4 | ||
38% Harris 42% Trump 5% Kennedy 2% Stein 1% West | |||||||||||||||
July 7-9 | 1,443 | RV | July 7-9 1,443RV | The Economist | Biden | 40% | Biden | 40% | Biden 40% Trump 43% Kennedy 4% West 1% Stein 1% | 43% | Trump | Trump | +3 | ||
40% Biden 43% Trump 4% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 7-9 | 800 | RV | July 7-9 800RV | NBC News | Harris | 45% | Harris | 45% | Harris 45% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +2 | ||
July 7-9 | 800 | RV | July 7-9 800RV | NBC News | Biden | 37% | Biden | 37% | Biden 37% Trump 40% Kennedy 10% Stein 3% Oliver 2% West 1% | 40% | Trump | Trump | +3 | ||
37% Biden 40% Trump 10% Kennedy 3% Stein 2% Oliver 1% West | |||||||||||||||
July 7-9 | 800 | RV | July 7-9 800RV | NBC News | Biden | 43% | Biden | 43% | Biden 43% Trump 45% | 45% | Trump | Trump | +2 | ||
July 5-9 | 2,041 | RV | July 5-9 2,041RV | The Washington Post, ABC News | Harris | 49% | Harris | 49% | Harris 49% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Harris | +2 | ||
July 5-9 | 2,041 | RV | July 5-9 2,041RV | The Washington Post, ABC News | Biden | 42% | Biden | 42% | Biden 42% Trump 43% Kennedy 9% West 2% Stein 2% | 43% | Trump | Trump | +1 | ||
42% Biden 43% Trump 9% Kennedy 2% West 2% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 5-9 | 2,041 | RV | July 5-9 2,041RV | The Washington Post, ABC News | Biden | 46% | Biden | 46% | Biden 46% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Even |
July 7, 2024
President: general election, 2024AVG.
July 8 | 1,101 | LV | July 8 1,101LV | Harris | 37% | Harris | 37% | Harris 37% Trump 44% Kennedy 8% Oliver 1% | 44% | Trump | Trump | +7 | |||
37% Harris 44% Trump 8% Kennedy 1% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
July 8 | 1,101 | LV | July 8 1,101LV | Biden | 42% | Biden | 42% | Biden 42% Trump 43% Kennedy 6% Oliver 1% | 43% | Trump | Trump | +1 | |||
42% Biden 43% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% Oliver | |||||||||||||||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Shapiro | 38% | Shapiro | 38% | Shapiro 38% Trump 46% | 46% | Trump | Trump | +8 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Warren | 39% | Warren | 39% | Warren 39% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +10 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Gore | 42% | Gore | 42% | Gore 42% Trump 47% | 47% | Trump | Trump | +5 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | H. Clinton | 41% | H. Clinton | 41% | H. Clinton 41% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +7 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Sanders | 42% | Sanders | 42% | Sanders 42% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +6 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Buttigieg | 39% | Buttigieg | 39% | Buttigieg 39% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +10 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Whitmer | 38% | Whitmer | 38% | Whitmer 38% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +10 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Newsom | 40% | Newsom | 40% | Newsom 40% Trump 48% | 48% | Trump | Trump | +8 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Harris | 43% | Harris | 43% | Harris 43% Trump 49% | 49% | Trump | Trump | +6 | |||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Biden | 40% | Biden | 40% | Biden 40% Trump 44% Kennedy 6% West 1% Stein 1% | 44% | Trump | Trump | +4 | |||
40% Biden 44% Trump 6% Kennedy 1% West 1% Stein | |||||||||||||||
July 7-8 | 1,370 | RV | July 7-8 1,370RV | Biden | 50% | Biden | 50% | Biden 50% Trump 50% | 50% | Trump | Even |
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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.